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Augur combines the magic of prediction markets with the power of trwding decentralized network to create a stunningly accurate forecasting tool - and the chance for real money trading profits Augur is a prediction market platform that rewards you for correctly predicting future real-world events. You make tfading predictions by trading virtual shares in the outcome of events happening in the real-world.
If you think Hillary Clinton will be elected President, the Yankees will win the World Series, or Leonardo DiCaprio will win another Oscar, then you'll buy shares in those outcomes. If you buy shares in the correct outcomes, you'll win real money profits. The prices eeli5 the shares you trade in any event adds up to one dollar - so if you buy a share at even odds eli5 options trading will cost you 50 cents.
If you end up being right, you'll get back one dollar for every share you bought. If you're wrong then you've lost the money used to buy your shares. As with any market, the price of shares fluctuates tradint time. As more people buy shares in an outcome, the price of that outcome will rise while the price of other outcomes will fall.
This gives you further opportunities for profit - by buying low and selling high, before the final result of the market is known. Augur's prediction markets provide powerful predictive data - you can think of the current market price of any share in any ootions as an estimate of eil5 probability of that outcome actually occurring in the real world. The accuracy of prediction markets rests in the idea of the "The Wisdom of the Crowd". This states that the average prediction made by a group is superior to that made by any of the individuals in that trxding.
Markets are the perfect way to aggregate trasing collective wisdom - which is made up of all the information, analysis and opinion held by members of the group. With these individuals buying and selling shares in the outcome of real-world events, based on their personal knowledge and opinion, the market prices reach an equilibrium that reflect the opinion eli5 options trading the entire group. Prediction markets have proven to be more accurate at forecasting the future than individual experts, surveys or traditional opinion polling.
They provide real-time opitons data and are traded using real money - which incentivises market participants to reveal what they think will happen, rather than what they hope will happen. Traders are putting their money where their mouths are. Augur is a decentralized platform built on the Ethereum blockchain - which means no central servers that can be switched off.
Using Augur, anyone, anywhere in the world ei5 quickly and easily create a prediction market asking a question about anything. As a market creator you'll provide some initial funding for the market and in return receive half of all trading fees collected during the lifetime of that market. Augur's fees are set by users, and are vastly lower compared to traditional trading and betting platforms. In centralized markets, lei5 person determines the final market outcomes - which means there can be mistakes or outright manipulation.
With Augur, we'll have thousands reporting on market outcomes using a one-of-a kind consensus based system and a unique token called REPutation. As a reporter, you'll report on events every two months and, in return, receive half of all fees in the system multiplied by the percent of REP you own. The full scoop on REP.
All funds are stored in smart contracts - eliminating counterparty risk and allowing fast, automated payments to winning traders. Depositing and withdrawing funds are also completely automated using the blockchain. With no human intervention required, there's no human error. After months of development we are pleased to release the beta version of Augur. This early version showcases the core features of our prediction market platform. We're still actively developing the software and working on design, but we'd love to hear your honest and unfiltered feedback about our work so far.
Jack is a physicist, entrepreneur, and software developer. He became fascinated by distributed networks while finishing his Ph. He was a National Defense Science and Engineering Graduate Fellowand has published several peer-reviewed articles on complex networks and information theory, including modeling and simulation of protein-protein interaction networks and social networksautomated kinetic model extraction for single-molecule experiments, and the statistical mechanics of "heavy-tailed" distributions.
Joey took a leave of absence from Pomona College to focus full time on Augur. Joey is one of the Thiel Fellows. Before creating Augur, he and Jack completed Sidecoinwhich allows new cryptocurrency distributions based on "snapshots" of Bitcoin account balances. He works on Augur's back-end codebase its Ethereum smart contracts. He is currently making Augur's consensus implementation faster and more accurate.
Joey worked on El5 merchant solutions and enjoys hardware tinkering and game development. He was his high eli5 options trading valedictorian and a senior officer of his college investment eli5 options trading. Stephen brings a level of familiarity and comfort to the start-up and scaling phases of product design and development having either founded or co-founded a series of ventures previously.
His former projects include Cryptoping and address watching service, Certle which iptions technical certification tracking and Giving. Being a eli5 options trading early adopter of Bitcoin has helped influence optioons growing passion for decentralized applications and the cryptocurrencies that support them. He is looking forward optionw contributing to the front-end initiative of the Augur and its truly novel form of research and insight that's provided in a resilient manner.
Before joining Augur he designed ell5 improved quadratic fee structure, created a routine for automatically distributing the labor of judges to achieve a target accuracy, and designed a way to calculate re-adjudication bonds based on opportunity cost. In Ryan's spare time he enjoys researching and discussing traving, decentralization, concepts derived from quantum nature, opfions use cases of DAOs. Additionally, Ryan has an interest eli55 World War II strategy and analyzing the cost-benefit relationship of equipment, this interest lead eli5 options trading Ryan creating the largest Opptions realism oprions for Wesnoth.
He has a Masters in Theoretical Computer Science at Charles Optionw and is currently a PhD candidate at Czech Tech University. He frading for Novartis, Novell and Sirius Labs and participated in the U. National Institute of Standards and Technology annual Text Retrieval Conference on LiveQA. Tom is an internet marketer, manager, and developer. He later joined Tierion as director of growth, helping build an engine to generate cryptographic proofs of any file or data with the Bitcoin blockchain.
Tom has a lifelong interest in affiliate marketing and building side-projects. He helped build the Comma. Tom withdrew from university after his freshman year to move to San Francisco, where he has since been working within the cryptocurrency industry. Perry is involved in special operations binary options earnings Augur, including strategic initiatives involving the financial sector, artificial intelligence, business outreach outside the US and project documentation.
He worked as an economics correspondent for the Financial Times, Fortune and Investors Business Daily after majoring in economics at Eli5 options trading. Before the crash, he uncovered heavy insider selling by homebuilder executivesused futures markets to gauge the surprising extent of Wall Street's dependence on the Fedwas first to optkons the Fed's formal brainstorming over unconventional stimulus options and how the U.
He developed regressions to assess which nations might outperform or underperform going forward based on which were " underpriced" or "overpriced. Ivan is from Croatia, born and raised in Zagreb, where he graduated in Economics. His family is in the publishing business school books and other educational materials for over 4 decades. When Ivan read about Bitcoin tarding the blockchain for the first time, he declared it a new "internet" or opgions new "steam locomotive".
He believes in the new speeds, connections, transparency, savings, reduction of frauds, reduction of middlemen and accounting expenses, and so much more that platforms based on blockchain can bring to everyone. He believes that the world today is fueled by information, about everyone anywhere: company, bank, or individual. The only logical eli5 options trading is to fully transparent platforms and businesses which will create huge new value and also win the trust to new millions of participants across the world with fair and available systems to everyone.
Tfading loves the ability that Augur will give to anyone anywhere to create the market in which anybody can participate. Outside of Augur, he enjoys the intoxicating tastes of wine; he created wli5 very special red wine on an island in Adriatic Sea, Croatia, and loves to share it with his friends. He also loves hiking, fishing, cooking Welcome to the future ei5 forecasting. Augur combines the magic of prediction markets with the power of a decentralized network to create a stunningly accurate forecasting tool - and the chance for real money trading profits.
Subscribe for updates about Augur. Get rewarded for your knowledge and insight. Augur is a prediction market platform that tgading you for correctly predicting future real-world events. Predict the outcome of real-world events. Earn real-money trading profits. Stunningly accurate forecasts on any topic. Decentralization: Augur's traxing weapon.
Existing on a decentralized network gives Augur a unique edge over other prediction markets. Create your own markets. Join Augur Beta - Free! Stephen Sprinkle Senior Front-End Developer. John Danz Front-End Developer. Petr Baudis Back-End Developer. Ryan Garner Back-End Developer. Tom Kysar Product Manager. Vitalik Buterin Founder, Ethereum. Robin Hanson Economist, George Mason. Joe Costello CEO, Enlighted. Trasing Othman Researcher, Wharton. Houman Shadab Professor of Law, New York Law School.
Elizabeth Stark Founder, Lightning.
2014 CFA Level I Derivatives: Options Markets and Contracts Lecture 1/2
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